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jts_2013-05-09_00

South Korea surprised the market

By Gold Bullion On 2013/05/09 · Add Comment · In Analysis, English, Markets

Looks likely we have seen the peak in 10yr US Treasury yields for this month and most likely the quarter.

South Korea surprised the market today with a 25bp cut in its base rate to 2.5%, it follows the earlier than expected cut by the Australian Central Bank earlier this week. Why would Asian/Pacific central [...]

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deflation-crisis

The D word haunts everyone

By Gold Bullion On 2013/05/02 · Add Comment · In English, Markets

Deflation is the scariest word!

The FOMC statement last night managed somehow to avoid saying what surely should be what is on every member of the FOMCs' lips- DEFLATION.

The recent Federal Reserve Bank regional surveys have shown that inflation is falling and quickly, and the recent Business surveys from ISM in the US have [...]

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jts_2013-04-16_03

Dramatic moves in commodities

On 2013/04/16 By Gold Bullion

Taking stock of what has happened.

The last week has seen dramatic moves in commodities and none more so than in Gold.

There is lots of speculation as to what has caused this selling of commodities but the simple matter of fact is that there were more sellers than buyers at the levels of last [...]

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jts_2013-04-04_image001

European Central Banks offer no new support to the economies

On 2013/04/04 By Gold Bullion

European Central Banks offer no new support to the economies.- they leave it to the Governments to find a solution.

The BoE and ECB left interest rates unchanged and both, against some investors' expectations, did not increase QE (BoE) or allow lower quality collateral to be used in Repo operations (ECB).
In the ECB's [...]

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2013-02-27_00

The Italian Crisis

On 2013/02/27 By Gold Bullion

Italy took centre stage yesterday after the inconclusive result from the general election.

Price action in Italian Government bonds is certainly not positive for the markets. After an initial weak opening, domestic institutions took prices higher and yields lower after the initial re-pricing of the yield curve.
The gradual selling throughout most of the [...]

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chaos

Chaotic Markets

On 2013/02/21 By Gold Bullion

Today was a day that the financial markets used to have back in 2008.

It was a fairly quiet start to the European trading session which was dominated by a poor German 10yr Bund auction which saw German 10yr yields hit 1.675% at the end of the morning session.

There had been some US Investment [...]

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2013-02-18_02

Current market fundamentals

On 2013/02/18 By Gold Bullion

It is becoming difficult to trade on fundamentals at the moment. The markets are dominated by sentiment which in itself is being driven by political noise.

Firstly, the US Treasury market back up in yields has not been driven by a rise in inflation expectations as would have been expected. In fact forward inflation expectations [...]

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2013-01-28_00

European Banks have chosen to repay 137.2bln Euro in funds

On 2013/01/28 By Gold Bullion

Friday's announcement that on January 30th, 278 European Banks have chosen to repay €137.2bln in funds that they borrowed from the ECB in the first of the LTROs, spooked the European interest rate markets.

Why I am not so sure. There are little risk free assets you can buy above the rate, 0.75%,  at which [...]

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2013-01-09-00

Has anything changed?

On 2013/01/09 By Gold Bullion

Many questions have been asked as to why there was such a dramatic move to higher US Treasury yields last week. And amid those questions there have been many statements as to how the bond market will perform for the next quarter.

Firstly, as I pointed out last week, the "Big Compromise" does little to [...]

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us-fiscal-cliff

US Economy - Driving over the cliff

On 2013/01/02 By Gold Bullion

After having been diverted from driving over the cliff, the US economy is now being driven down a very muddy road and after all the rain that the UK has had over the past month I certainly know how slow that makes things.

A quick summary of the compromise deal that the US Senate negotiated [...]

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